Service Plays Thursday 07/16/09

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

MLB DUNKEL

Chicago Cubs at Washington
The Nats open with new manager Jim Riggelman looking to take advantage of a Chicago team that is just 2-5 in Rich Harden's last 7 starts. Washington is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 16

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Harden) 14.144; Washington (Lannan) 15.559
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Over

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 13.430; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.243
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 13.777; Atlanta (Lowe) 15.919
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-175); Under

Game 907-908: Colorado at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 14.613; San Diego (Gaudin) 15.364
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 909-910: Houston at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.751; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 16.124
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under

Game 911-912: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Olson) 15.291; Cleveland (Lee) 14.727
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+190); Over

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.686; Oakland (Braden) 15.916
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+125); Under

Game 915-916: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.500; Florida (Volstad) 16.500
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Florida (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-125); Over

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

CFL DUNKEL

BC at Edmonton
The Lions look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is coming off a 50-16 defeat at Montreal and is just 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS loss. BC is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: BC (+4 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 16

Game 401-402: BC at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: BC 107.163; Edmonton 106.025
Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: BC (+4 1/2); Over

TheIronHorse · Jul 16, 2009

DailyPowerRatings.com

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="96%"><tbody><tr><td> </td> <td align="right" valign="top" width="32%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="freepickwhite" width="68%">DailyPowerRatings - MLB </td> <td rowspan="4" align="right" valign="top" width="32%">

</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="freepickwhite1">Thursday, July 16th</td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> 5* Star - 6+ Run Differential (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 5 Run Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 4 Run Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 2 to 3 Run Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 1 Run Differential (No Play Recommended) </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td align="right" valign="top" width="32%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> <table style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="99%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="26%" height="30">Team
(Game*)</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="23%">Game Rating
(Point Differential)</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="10%">Vegas
Line </td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="9%">Our
Line</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="8%">Power
Rating</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="8%">Starting Pitcher</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="9%">Home/
Away</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="brdbotright" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="28"> (911) Seattle</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#719e9f">2* Star </td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">180</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">2</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">2</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">1</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="brdbotright" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="28"> (912) Cleveland</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-190</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">5</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">4</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">1</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">0</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="7" class="brdbot" bgcolor="#e6e6e6" height="6"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table></td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" align="left"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="freepickwhite1">Today's Play:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">2* Seattle (180) Slight Edge</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> </td></tr></tbody></table>

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play Wednesday and likes the Reds tonight.

The surplus is 1,025 sirignanos.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Hondo

July 16, 2009

Hondo went for broke yesterday, but his horses -- Interference and Api Mohkat at Belmont, and Lucilu Hanover at the Big M -- went for naught, so the earnings fell to 90 manzis.

Today, at the urging of thoroughbred advisor An thony Affrunti, The Post's Puny Pony Picker (in the unlikely event the diet works), Mr. Aitch will con tinue to bang his head against the Belmont wall with win wagers on Not Macho Any More in the second and Inside Info in the sixth. Ten units apiece.

Tonight, making his return to the diamond district, he expects a gem of a performance from Olson against the Native Americans -- 10 units on the Mar iners.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Arthur Ralph Sports
41-22 run on Bonus Plays

Thursday Fla. Marlins

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Philadelphia (48-38) at Florida (46-44)

The red-hot Phillies begin a four-game series at Dolphin Stadium, and they’ll hand the ball to ageless veteran Jamie Moyer (8-6, 5.99 ERA), while the Marlins counter with young Chris Volstad (6-8, 4.44).

Philadelphia went into the All-Star break on a five-game winning streak, which was part of a 9-1 homestand. The hot run came on the heels of a 4-14 slump, and the defending champs now lead the N.L. East by four games over Florida. The Phillies are on hot streaks of 13-6 in divisional play, 47-23 after a victory and 21-10 after an off day, but they’ve lost six of eight on the road, including five straight against right-handed starters.

The Marlins pounded Arizona 8-1 on Sunday to end a seven-game road trip with a 3-4 mark. They’ve lost six of seven after an off day and five of six against winning teams, but Florida is also on positive runs of 10-1 at home, 4-1 against the N.L. East, 12-5 versus southpaw starters and 4-1 on Thursday.

Philadelphia is on a 6-2 roll against the Marlins (4-2 this year), including winning five straight games in Florida. In fact, the visitor has taken nine of the last 11 in this rivalry.

Moyer is 4-0 in his last four trips to the hill despite a 4.84 ERA, and he gave up six runs on eight hits in five innings in his most recent start against Cincinnati on July 9, winning 9-6 at home. The 46-year-old lefty is 4-2 with a 5.08 ERA in his eight road outings.

In addition to winning Moyer’s last four starts, Philadelphia is 11-5 in his last 16 on the road, 33-11 in his last 44 against the N.L. East and 8-3 in his last 11 on Thursday. Also, Moyer is 12-2 with a 3.06 ERA in 14 career starts against the Marlins, including 7-0 with a 1.58 ERA in seven career trips to South Beach. This year, Moyer is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA in two starts versus the Fish.

Volstad is coming off the best start of his young career, tossing his first complete game in a 7-0 rout of the Giants in San Francisco. The right-hander scattered five hits, struck out six and didn’t walk a batter as he won for just the second time in his last eight starts. Volstad is 3-5 with a 5.15 ERA in nine home starts and 2-6 with a 5.20 ERA in night games.

With Volstad pitching, Florida is mired in funks of 2-6 overall, 2-6 at home, 3-8 in night games and 1-4 in series openers, but it has won five of his last six starts against the N.L. East. Volstad has faced the Phillies five times, going 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA, including 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA in two games this year (one home, one road).

The Phillies carry “under” streaks of 8-3 overall, 4-0 against the N.L. East, 11-4-2 on grass, 17-8-2 on Thursday, 8-2 with Moyer on the mound and 4-1 with Moyer working on the road. The under is also 7-2-1 in Florida’s last 10 N.L. East contests, 4-1 in its last five against winning teams and 5-0-1 in its last six against lefty starters. Conversely, the over is 5-1 in Volstad’s last six home starts and 53-23-3 in the last 79 Phillies-Marlins clashes in South Beach, including 3-0 this year.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER

Houston (44-44) at L.A. Dodgers (56-32)

A battle of left-handers is on tap at Dodger Stadium, with Los Angeles sending Randy Wolf (4-3, 3.45) to the mound against the Astros’ Wandy Rodriguez (8-6, 2.96) in the opener of a four-game series.

Houston got its record to .500 at the All-Star break courtesy of a 12-6 run over the past 18 games, and it has won six of nine road games, including a 4-3 mark on its most recent trip which also was on the West Coast at San Diego and San Francisco. The Astros are also on runs of 5-0 on Thursday, 18-7 against the N.L. West, 4-1 against lefty starts and 4-1 in series openers, but they’ve lost 13 of 16 after an off day.

The Dodgers, who continue to own baseball’s best record, capped a 6-3 road trip with Sunday’s 7-4 victory at Milwaukee. Los Angeles, which won its first 13 home games to start the season, are 48-21 at Dodger Stadium dating to last season (28-13 this year) and are on further positive streaks of 21-8 at home against lefty starters, 7-3 on Thursday, 4-0 after a day off and they’ve won six consecutive series openers.

Houston took two of three from the Dodgers in Texas earlier this season, and they’ve won six of their last eight in Dodger Stadium.

Rodriguez is 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA in his last four starts – all Astros victories – including 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA in his last two outings. In his most recent start against Pittsburgh on Wednesday, Rodriguez delivered a complete-game 5-0 victory, allowing five hits and one walk while matching his season high with 11 strikeouts. It was just the second complete game of his career.

Rodriguez dominated the Padres in a 7-2 victory in his last road start, but is just 4-4 in nine outings on the highway despite a 3.83 ERA. He’s also 2-2 with a 3.23 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against L.A. That includes a 2-0 home loss on April 23 when the lefty yielded just one run and five hits in six innings.

Wolf dominated the Mets in an 11-2 road win a week ago, allowing two runs in 6 1/3 innings as he picked up his first victory since May 28. Wolf has given up two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts, and he’s posted a 2.45 ERA in his last three trips to the hill.

The Dodgers are 9-3 in Wolf’s last 12 starts overall, 13-3 in his last 16 at home, 7-1 in his last eight against the N.L. Central and 4-1 in his last five on Thursday. The 32-year-old has just one decision (a loss) in nine home starts this season, posting a 4.04 ERA, and he’s 4-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 12 career starts against the Astros, including a no-decision in L.A.’s 6-5 loss in Houston on April 22.

The over is 8-3-1 in Houston’s last 12 against the N.L. West, but otherwise the team is on “under” streaks of 9-4-1 against winning teams, 38-17-1 after an off day and 42-19-2 in series openers. Also, the Dodgers have stayed low in their last five home games, but the over is 4-1 in their last five overall and 5-2 in their last seven against southpaw starters.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS

Henryjames · Jul 16, 2009

igz1 sports

MLB
3* Seattle +175 (Olsen)
3* Over 8.5 (-110) LA Angels (Santana) vs Oakland (Braden)
3* Washington +100 (Lannan)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Cappers Access

Rockies
Cubs

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Sea/ Cleve Under
Col/ Sd Under

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Kosmo

ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

7-16-09

Cubs -115 1 unit
Atlanta -1.5 +120 1 unit
Dodgers -140 1 unit
Seattle +185 1 unit

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

John Morrison

Florida -130

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Game: Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds - Thursday July 16, 2009 7:10 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 9.5 (-120)

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinatti Reds (Thursday @ 7:10pm est). Both of these pitchers have the propensity for a strong outing today. Braden Looper, the Wichita State alum, comes off giving up 5 runs in 6 innings against the Dodgers at home. He faces the Reds as he comes off a non-quality start, and prior to that he had given up 6 runs in the last 18 innings. Homer Bailey, the La Grange, Texas native is back for the Reds. He has made four starts as he gets his feet wet and each start has progressively gotten better. In his last two starts, he has given up 4 runs in over 13 innings for back to back quality starts - granted he didn't pick up a win in either start. The Under is 4-1 when the Brewers face a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and the Under is 8-0 for the Reds when they are favorites by this margin.

Game: Philadelphia Phillies @ Florida Marlins - Thursday July 16, 2009 7:10 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) MONEYLINE: Philadelphia Phillies +110

4 Unit Play. Take Philadelphia Phillies +110 over the Florida Marlins (Thursday @ 7:10pm est). The Phillies have great value today given that Jamie Moyer is on the mound. He faced the Marlins earlier this season and lost 3-5 in Philadelphia as he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings and he looks to get some revenge from that contest. Bear in mind the Pennsylvania native comes off one of his worst starts of the year as he closed the first half of the season giving up 6 runs in in 5 innings against the Reds. Granted, Moyer did win that contest, but his era has balooned to 5.99 as he is 8-6 on the year. Moyer for the most part when he comes off a rough start, puts together a quality start in his next outing - and we get him with revenge against the Marlins. As a side note, this is a pivotal series as well as the Phillies are atop the division but the Marlins are on their heels as well in the NL East. Volstad comes off a brilliant start where he pitched a complete game, five hit shutout of the Giants on the road. But, as someone who has followed Volstad closely, he is 0-8 when he comes off a quality start in his last apperance (which feeds into the notion that Volstad typically has a let down after a great start). The Phillies are 5-0 over their last 5 games and 4-0 when Moyer starts of late. As a final note, the Marlins are 1-4 when the total is set at this range with Volstad on the mound.

str8flush95 · Jul 16, 2009

Docs Sports

SEA +180 CLE
LAA/OAK UNDER 9

paid (as a result of the GOTY loss) and confirmed by me

yanks84 · Jul 16, 2009

Lou Panelli

20* MLB Milwaukee +100(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* MLB Cubs over 8.5
10* MLB Seattle under 8.5
10* MLB Angels under 8.5
10* MLB Phillies +120
10* MLB Mets +155

cpprcppr · Jul 16, 2009

Wunderdog MLB Service Plays 07/16/09

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Oakland -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Oakland -1.5 runs +160 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3.2)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 16, 2009

Brandon Lang

Thursday ...
5 Dime Phillies

5 Dime Athletics

5 Dime Cubs

FREE – Padres

Yanks · Jul 16, 2009

Rated Picks

MLB:

Sea Mariners/Cle Indians UNDER 8.5 *2 units
Chicago Cubs -115 *5 units
Phil Phillies +115 *2 units

Regards, Ratedpicks

Yanks · Jul 16, 2009

SCOTT FERRALL'S FREE PICKS:

MLB FREE PICKS FOR THURSDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )

Astros (Rodriguez)

DODGERS (WOLF) -150 (1)

COLORADO (COOK) -125 (2)

San Diego (Gaudin)